Team Selection And Seeding Is Broken, Here’s How To Fix It

Illinois St. left out of the field completely. Monmouth not even considered. Princeton needing an automatic bid. Wichita St. a 10 seed. Thanks to the NCAA Tournament selection committee’s focus on RPI derivatives (not even the metric itself) the accomplishments by mid-majors are consistently undervalued. Continue reading “Team Selection And Seeding Is Broken, Here’s How To Fix It” →

Three Things To Know About Preseason Projections

Several college basketball analysts recently released preseason projections for the upcoming season. How well do these models forecast the final conference standings? Here are some guidelines based on recent history: Continue reading “Three Things To Know About Preseason Projections” →

Way Too Early MAAC RPM Projections

Rosters are starting to settle (mostly) down and summer league is starting up. Now seems like a great time to start looking at what next season could look like in the MAAC. Continue reading “Way Too Early MAAC RPM Projections” →

Way Too Early NEC RPM Projections

Another offseason means another chance to use returning-possession minutes (RPM) to try and predict the upcoming college basketball season. Continue reading “Way Too Early NEC RPM Projections” →

Call To The Post As Patriot League Race Set To Begin

Yes, there has been some variety, but unlike many other conferences this season the Patriot League has played fairly close to form in the non-conference slate. Perhaps because of that, you can make a case for several horses in the field of 10 to cross the wire first at the end of the league race, which begins on Wednesday when the conference gate opens. Continue reading “Call To The Post As Patriot League Race Set To Begin” →

How Accurate Are Preseason Projections?

Over the past few years, the quantity and sophistication of preseason college basketball projections have exploded. Ken Pomeroy has been publishing projections since 2010, while Dan Hanner took his lineup-based model to SI.com this year. At a conference level, you can find projections based on anything from straightforward regressions to player-by-player analysis. Continue reading “How Accurate Are Preseason Projections?” →