Some observations of Monmouth’s strengths and weaknesses

Last night, I attended my first NEC game as a fan when I purchased tickets with a co-worker to see the Monmouth Hawks lose by more than 30 points to ACC foe Maryland. It really wasn’t a fair fight, after all Maryland has the fifth tallest roster in the country versus Monmouth who has the seventh shortest team. Obviously, the blowout loss in College Park isn’t a proper barometer to measure the Hawks, but the Terrapins were able to exacerbate some of Monmouth’s issues. Here are my thoughts on the Hawks as they will soon move forward into NEC play:

1) Swarming the Basketball – Monmouth may have one of the shortest teams in the country, but they sure are quick. On defense, they fly around the court creating havoc a majority of the time. Their defensive rotations, for the most part, are crisp and clog up passing lanes in a hurry. Even a team that has superior size and athleticism in Maryland, struggled mightily in their half-court set. In all, the Terps coughed the ball up 24 times, which is right on par with the number of turnovers this Hawks’ defense extracts every game. With their excellent turnover rates (top 10 nationally), any NEC team opposing Monmouth should be content if they give the ball away less than 20 times. If they break 15 turnovers, then they should be thrilled. And if they break 12 turnovers, well then it was a marvelous performance. This team can flat out defend when they’re clicking on all cylinders. No one, and I repeat no one, will look forward to play these Hawks in conference.

2) Offensive Struggles – Monmouth was in quite a quandary on Wednesday night. King Rice tried to instill an aggressive mindset on the offensive end, as his Hawks clearly weren’t shy about driving the lane. Maryland’s size, however, made life extremely difficult for Monmouth’s bigs and slashers. Alex Len, all 7’1 of him, registered five blocks and altered a countless number of other shot attempts. In all, Monmouth only connected on 21% of their shots last night. Of course, Monmouth won’t see this type of size in the NEC, but the Hawks currently cannot buy an outside jumper. For the season, the Hawks are scoring 0.85 points per possession. I don’t care how good your defense is, an offense playing at that level simply won’t cut it if you truly want to break into the NEC top four or five.

3) Who is the Go-To-Guy? – If you have a KenPom subscription, head to Monmouth’s scouting page. On it, you’ll unfortunately see a lot of red boxes (red means BAD) when it comes to offensive statistics and metrics. It’s been a real struggle shooting the basketball for a majority of the Hawks. Senior Jesse Steele is shooting 27% from the floor. Andrew Nicholas, after his 0-9 performance against Maryland, has only drained 36% of his shot attempts. Not one player, with the exception of freshman Christian White who doesn’t have many attempts, has a three-point percentage greater than 32%. Quite simply, this is one of the worst shooting teams in the country, which truly places a premium on transition points off turnovers. If the Hawks have an off day turning their opponent over, they’ll have real trouble winning the game.

Despite all of the offensive issues, this team is significantly better than a season ago. King Rice has his players bought in on the defensive end, but he’ll need to figure out how to create better looks offensively. His go-to-guys, Steele and Nicholas, have disappointed in the early going, so one of the biggest issues moving forward is if those guards can improve their numbers. Without a sizable tick up in performance, the Hawks won’t have enough offensive firepower to compete with teams like LIU, Robert Morris, and even Central Connecticut.

NIT Bracketology: The paper tiger

By mid-January the college basketball analyst comes out to hunt for Bubble Teams. It’s an exercise dependent on looking through RPI table, the “eye test” and other glorious means of trying to determine which teams will make the NCAA tournament. In particular, the analysts – some of who are very well respected – are trying to separate out the paper tigers.

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Assist Tracker: Dec. 28

Halil Kanacevic (F, St. Joseph’s) — This isn’t the first time that the Hawks’ big man has showed up on the assist tracker. It’s obvious that he’s got a knack for passing that most 6’8″ guys just don’t. Right now Kanacevic leads the team in rebounding and is second in assists. That’s a nice combination. He had 12 assists in St. Joseph’s 81-50 win over Morgan State on Wednesday. They broke down pretty evenly into four dunks, four jumpers, three threes and a layup. Langston Galloway scored 14 points on 6-8 shooting and three of them were off Kanacevic assists.

Lawrence Alexander (G, NDSU) — Half of Alexander’s 10 assists in the Bisons’ 96-69 win over Oakland on Wednesday night went for threes. As a team NDSU was shooting well from beyond the arc, going 12-20 overall. Taylor Braun scored 21 points to lead the Bison. Three of his baskets came off assists from Alexander.

Anthony Marshall (G, UNLV) — The rout was on last night as UNLV took it to Central Arkansas 124-75. Marshall had 10 assists in the game. Five of Marshall’s 10 assists were for threes. He had three assists each to the Runnin’ Rebels’ leading scorers Mike Moser (18 points) and Chace Stanback (29 points). Marquette transfer Reggie Smith saw 11 minutes of action in the game and Marshall gave him as assist on one of his three three-pointers in the game. UNLV shot 18-32 from distance.

Pe’Shon Howard (G, Maryland) — Apparently Howard was happy to have Alex Len in the lineup as the the Ukrainian import got two of Howard’s eight assists in the Terrapins’ 83-72 win over Albany. Predictably both of Howard’s assists to Len went for dunks.

Gerardo Suero (G, Albany) — The Great Danes got a balanced scoring effort in the loss to Maryland it shows in Suero’s assists. Of his eight, two went to Logan Aronhalt, two to Mike Black and two to Luke Devlin. There were four threes, three layups and one jumper in the eight assists.

Peyton Siva (G, Louisville) — Siva had six assists in the Cardinals’ first loss of the season to Georgetown, 71-68. All six were for either threes (3), layups (2) or dunks (1). Apparently Louisville could’ve used one at least one more.

Postseason Preview: Iona vs. East Tennessee State

Iona heads to Johnson City, Tennessee to take on East Tennessee State in the semifinals of the CollegeInsider.com Tournament on Saturday afternoon in a game that pits two talented mid-major teams from the MAAC and Atlantic Sun. The Gaels were probably the best team besides Maryland to not receive an NIT invitation and they’ve done nothing to discredit that reputation since postseason play began. Iona went on the road to Valparaiso and came away with a convincing victory and then took out Buffalo at home on Tuesday.

That’s why Iona is actually favored in this game by Ken Pomeroy’s rankings by exactly one point, 72-71 (57%), even on the road. Of course ETSU has some strengths as well. The Buccaneers recorded two convincing victories over Furman and Ohio on their way to semifinals, but neither of those teams is even close to the same level as Iona. That said, the Basketball State rankings on BBState, have Iona 67th and ETSU 60th. So this seems to be a game between two pretty evenly matched squads.

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