Random Thoughts on the NEC, Patriot League

It wasn’t ideal, yet I spent a majority of my Wednesday evening inside an Annapolis Panera (it’s a long story) on my IPad catching up on action around the NEC and Patriot League. With that, allow me to throw out some random thoughts regarding four schools. For what it’s worth, all four programs were in the bottom three of their respective power rankings, so there’s really nowhere to go but up. Continue reading “Random Thoughts on the NEC, Patriot League”

Patriot League Power Rankings – The First Installment

With more than two weeks in the books, Big Apple Buckets unveils their first installment of the Patriot League power rankings. There’s been quite a bit of movement from the original preseason poll. Continue reading “Patriot League Power Rankings – The First Installment”

Patriot League Breakout Candidates for 2013-14 Season

It’s always a fun exercise to predict potential breakout players who were lightly used in the early part of their career. We’ve had good success performing this exercise in the NEC, so as I venture into the Patriot League this season, allow me to highlight several players who have the potential and opportunity to morph into average to above average regulars for their particular team. Continue reading “Patriot League Breakout Candidates for 2013-14 Season”

A Healthy Worth Smith Critical to Navy’s Future

On a rebuilding roster rife with inexperience, many pundits aren’t expecting much out of the Navy Midshipmen for the 2013-14 basketball season. That much was evident with the lack of media attention they received at the Patriot League Media Day, after being selected to finish dead last in the coach’s preseason poll. Even though American University is returning far less and has a rookie head coach on its sidelines, Navy’s 2-12 conference record last season simply couldn’t be ignored.

Despite the morose expectations, Navy head coach Ed DeChellis has a history of turning programs around in his third year. After inheriting a seven-win East Tennessee State team, DeChellis guided the Buccaneers to 17 wins in only his third season. Later on, at arguably the toughest place to coach in the Big Ten, Penn State enjoyed an eight game swing from season two to three under DeChellis.

Can the Mids continue the trend in DeChellis’ third season?

“We have a chance. We can’t have injuries to key guys,” answered DeChellis. “If we can stay away from injuries, I think we have a chance to be better. I know we’re better. We just had two scrimmages – two years ago, one year ago we couldn’t play with either team – now we can play with those teams and win some halves.”

After producing the tenth best assist rate in the country as a rookie, point guard Tilman Dunbar is viewed by most as the eventual savior of the downtrodden program. While he’s incredibly important, many are overlooking one player who could be just as critical in getting Navy back to respectability. That player is junior forward Worth Smith.

After enduring two oft-injured seasons at the Naval Academy, Smith is poised to break out after undergoing successful surgery to repair a torn labrum in the offseason. The junior played through the pain of an injured shoulder as a sophomore, and while it’s unknown how much it affected his play, the condition was more than likely restricting him on the court.

Worth Smith must be more assertive if Navy wants to climb out of the Patriot League cellar. (Photo credit - Washington Times)
Worth Smith must be more assertive if Navy wants to climb out of the Patriot League cellar. (Photo credit – Washington Times)

“I’m not really sure, just randomly at times I’d play and forget about it and I’d be playing fine,” said Smith when asked about the condition of his shoulder last season. “Then (the shoulder) would pop out and go back in, and I would think about it.”

Unfortunately for the 6’6” forward, his shoulder “popped out” on more than one occasion. Even with the shoulder instability, though, Smith managed to lead the Mids in scoring (10.2 ppg), rebounding (5.2 rpg), steals (35) and blocks (37). Now with a clean bill of health, the onus falls on Smith to be more assertive on the floor. He is, after all, one of the more mature players of a team that was 338th nationally in experience last season.

Smith is certainly cognizant of his importance. “I’m definitely working on coming into that role. I’ve never been the main scorer. I was always a good player but never the main go-to-guy, but this year Coach is telling me to ‘take more shots, take more shots.’ I’ve been doing that, taking more control of things and I feel like this year should be a great year.”

“It’s time for him,” echoed DeChellis. “He’s shooting the ball with more confidence, he’s shooting free-throws with much more confidence. He’s a better player and that’s why hopefully we’ll be a better basketball team. Worth Smith is a young guy who can do a lot. Sometimes you gotta really jump-start him. You have to go out and hook up the clamps and jump-start him because he just doesn’t have that DNA. He’s a very soft-spoken young man.”

Soft spoken or not, Smith must be leaned upon more than ever. The versatile “stretch four” needs to have his best season yet if Navy has visions of breaking their two-year run as the last place team of the Patriot League.

You can follow Ryan on Twitter @pioneer_pride

Analyzing Dan Hanner’s Patriot League Projections

Yesterday, Big Apple Buckets’ own John Templon had an informative Q&A with Dan Hanner on his 2013-14 college basketball projections based on his highly respected projection model. Despite the interesting 3,000-word exchange between Templon and Hanner, I decided to delve into the Patriot League projections myself. Continue reading “Analyzing Dan Hanner’s Patriot League Projections”

Rationalizing Navy’s Easy Non-Conference Schedule

A couple of weeks ago, I gave Navy some kind hearted flack for their newly released non-conference schedule. It was, to put it nicely, a very weak slate featuring the likes of St. Francis (PA), The Citadel, UMBC, Binghamton, Maryland-Eastern Shore, and a home game versus a Division III opponent. You can view the schedule here. Continue reading “Rationalizing Navy’s Easy Non-Conference Schedule”