While the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference has received two bids to the NCAA tournament only twice in its history, the conference still maintains that standard as a goal for the future.
Continue reading “MAAC Looking For Consistent NCAA At-Large Bid”
One thing Manhattan head coach Steve Masiello will tell you is that he is a devout New York Yankees fan.
While he might enjoy the exploits of a team that has won the most championships in any sport, his test comes with having his team defend their own championship. Manhattan can’t hold onto a ‘Core Four‘ for a decade, and while most of the group has had a taste of success, they will need to earn it again. Continue reading “Sustaining a Championship the Challenge for Manhattan’s Steve Masiello”
With MAAC teams participating in 27 tournaments, classics, showcases, tip-offs over the next two months, the schedule is filled with enticing out-of-conference match ups. (With the exception of Niagara at St. Peter’s to open MAAC play in November.) Continue reading “The Best Of The MAAC Non-Conference Schedule”
Ken Pomeroy released his preseason rankings on Sunday night, which of course meant that Twitter spent all of Monday dissecting them. When it comes to the smaller conferences there are definitely some odd results.
That’s of course why we have 10,000 sims! I took the new adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team in the MAAC and plugged them into a Monte Carlo simulation for each season. Out pops the champion for each season.
If you’ve seen Pomeroy’s rankings it won’t be surprising that Iona is the prohibitive favorite in the MAAC. The Gaels are projected to be the 71st best team in the country and their simulation odds show just how far Tim Cluess’s team is ahead of the pack in Pomeroy’s rankings.
| Team | Wins | Ties | Outright | Pct. Outright | Pct. Tied | Projected Wins | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona | 7018 | 1462 | 5556 | 55.56% | 14.62% | 15 | Push |
| Manhattan | 3073 | 1176 | 1897 | 18.97% | 11.76% | 13 | Over |
| Siena | 803 | 430 | 373 | 3.73% | 4.30% | 11 | Over |
| Quinnipiac | 351 | 208 | 143 | 1.43% | 2.08% | 10 | Under |
| Canisius | 295 | 168 | 127 | 1.27% | 1.68% | 10 | Under |
| Fairfield | 117 | 78 | 39 | 0.39% | 0.78% | 9 | Push |
| Marist | 118 | 84 | 34 | 0.34% | 0.84% | 9 | Under |
| Rider | 86 | 57 | 29 | 0.29% | 0.57% | 9 | Push |
| Monmouth | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0.10% | 0.10% | 8 | Push |
| Niagara | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0.04% | 0.14% | 7 | Under |
| Saint Peter’s | 137 | 137 | 0 | 0.00% | 1.37% | 9 | Over |
The last column in the table is my personal feelings about how the MAAC will play out. KenPom rankings appear to overrate a few teams — most notably Canisius — and potentially undersell Saint Peter’s and Siena. Of course maybe the numbers are picking up on something I’m not.
Some other quick bullet points on Iona’s dominance:
Is there a team that you think KenPom is seriously underrating? Anything that surprised you?
Manhattan head coach Steve Masiello may be without one of his key newcomers this season. Continue reading “Manhattan Not Optimisitc Samson Usilo will Play This Season”
It is not by accident that the Manhattan-Iona matchup keeps getting on TV. Continue reading “MAAC ESPN TV Schedule Released”
As I showed last week, RPM projections aren’t perfect for the MAAC. Historically the model I’ve constructed has only been able to explain about 47% of a team’s rating. Still, 47% is better than nothing. Also, this will give us a chance to dive into some of the places where the system is weak. Continue reading “MAAC RPM Thoughts?”
This season every MAAC roster except for Marist will have at least one transfer. Here are five who are set to have an impact on their teams this coming season. Continue reading “Five Impact MAAC Transfers for This Season”
The Manhattan Jaspers roster received a boost on Wednesday when Steve Masiello tweeted that Cincinnati transfer Jermaine Lawrence received a waiver to play immediately. Continue reading “Manhattan’s Jermaine Lawrence Receives Waiver, Eligible Immediately”
From late March on, the name Steve Masiello was ingrained into the national media landscape in the worst way. Continue reading “Manhattan’s Steve Masiello Guaranteed to Get the Last Laugh”
NYC Buckets Archive 