Junior guard Giovanni McLean’s eligibility is officially under review in light of a recent scandal involving the forging of transcripts at Westchester Community College. Continue reading “Quinnipiac Reviewing Gio McLean’s Transcript”
When new Marist head coach Mike Maker was asked what the most difficult question he’d heard during his interview on campus, it sounded like he knew his answer before I even finished asking. Continue reading “Stop Calling Mike Maker, Bob Walsh Division III Coaches”
While it doesn’t feel like a reset, it’s close to it for Canisius head coach Jim Baron. Continue reading “Canisius Set To Rebuild And Retool Under Jim Baron”
Niagara was a better team last season than the one that won just seven games, and two of those reasons were Wesley Myers and Ramone Snowden. Continue reading “Snowden And Myers Are Now Leaders For Niagara”
Ken Pomeroy released his preseason rankings on Sunday night, which of course meant that Twitter spent all of Monday dissecting them. When it comes to the smaller conferences there are definitely some odd results.
That’s of course why we have 10,000 sims! I took the new adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team in the MAAC and plugged them into a Monte Carlo simulation for each season. Out pops the champion for each season.
If you’ve seen Pomeroy’s rankings it won’t be surprising that Iona is the prohibitive favorite in the MAAC. The Gaels are projected to be the 71st best team in the country and their simulation odds show just how far Tim Cluess’s team is ahead of the pack in Pomeroy’s rankings.
| Team | Wins | Ties | Outright | Pct. Outright | Pct. Tied | Projected Wins | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona | 7018 | 1462 | 5556 | 55.56% | 14.62% | 15 | Push |
| Manhattan | 3073 | 1176 | 1897 | 18.97% | 11.76% | 13 | Over |
| Siena | 803 | 430 | 373 | 3.73% | 4.30% | 11 | Over |
| Quinnipiac | 351 | 208 | 143 | 1.43% | 2.08% | 10 | Under |
| Canisius | 295 | 168 | 127 | 1.27% | 1.68% | 10 | Under |
| Fairfield | 117 | 78 | 39 | 0.39% | 0.78% | 9 | Push |
| Marist | 118 | 84 | 34 | 0.34% | 0.84% | 9 | Under |
| Rider | 86 | 57 | 29 | 0.29% | 0.57% | 9 | Push |
| Monmouth | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0.10% | 0.10% | 8 | Push |
| Niagara | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0.04% | 0.14% | 7 | Under |
| Saint Peter’s | 137 | 137 | 0 | 0.00% | 1.37% | 9 | Over |
The last column in the table is my personal feelings about how the MAAC will play out. KenPom rankings appear to overrate a few teams — most notably Canisius — and potentially undersell Saint Peter’s and Siena. Of course maybe the numbers are picking up on something I’m not.
Some other quick bullet points on Iona’s dominance:
Is there a team that you think KenPom is seriously underrating? Anything that surprised you?
Even while Fordham transfer Marvin Dominique spent a season on the bench, Saint Peter’s head coach John Dunne was optimistic that the 6’7″ forward would have an impact right away. Continue reading “Marvin Dominique Set To Lead Saint Peter’s”
Manhattan head coach Steve Masiello may be without one of his key newcomers this season. Continue reading “Manhattan Not Optimisitc Samson Usilo will Play This Season”
Entering his second season, Niagara head coach Chris Casey has quickly remade the roster. Continue reading “Niagara Even Younger In Year Two Of Chris Casey”
Sophomore Marquis Wright led the Saints in more ways than one last season. Continue reading “Siena’s Marquis Wright Knows How To Improve In 2nd Season”
Marist senior Chavaughn Lewis and redshirt sophomore Khallid Hart have been getting used to changes in the way they play. Continue reading “Hart, Lewis Adjusting To Mike Maker’s System At Marist”
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