While the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference has received two bids to the NCAA tournament only twice in its history, the conference still maintains that standard as a goal for the future.
Continue reading “MAAC Looking For Consistent NCAA At-Large Bid”
With MAAC teams participating in 27 tournaments, classics, showcases, tip-offs over the next two months, the schedule is filled with enticing out-of-conference match ups. (With the exception of Niagara at St. Peter’s to open MAAC play in November.) Continue reading “The Best Of The MAAC Non-Conference Schedule”
Ken Pomeroy released his preseason rankings on Sunday night, which of course meant that Twitter spent all of Monday dissecting them. When it comes to the smaller conferences there are definitely some odd results.
That’s of course why we have 10,000 sims! I took the new adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each team in the MAAC and plugged them into a Monte Carlo simulation for each season. Out pops the champion for each season.
If you’ve seen Pomeroy’s rankings it won’t be surprising that Iona is the prohibitive favorite in the MAAC. The Gaels are projected to be the 71st best team in the country and their simulation odds show just how far Tim Cluess’s team is ahead of the pack in Pomeroy’s rankings.
| Team | Wins | Ties | Outright | Pct. Outright | Pct. Tied | Projected Wins | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iona | 7018 | 1462 | 5556 | 55.56% | 14.62% | 15 | Push |
| Manhattan | 3073 | 1176 | 1897 | 18.97% | 11.76% | 13 | Over |
| Siena | 803 | 430 | 373 | 3.73% | 4.30% | 11 | Over |
| Quinnipiac | 351 | 208 | 143 | 1.43% | 2.08% | 10 | Under |
| Canisius | 295 | 168 | 127 | 1.27% | 1.68% | 10 | Under |
| Fairfield | 117 | 78 | 39 | 0.39% | 0.78% | 9 | Push |
| Marist | 118 | 84 | 34 | 0.34% | 0.84% | 9 | Under |
| Rider | 86 | 57 | 29 | 0.29% | 0.57% | 9 | Push |
| Monmouth | 20 | 10 | 10 | 0.10% | 0.10% | 8 | Push |
| Niagara | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0.04% | 0.14% | 7 | Under |
| Saint Peter’s | 137 | 137 | 0 | 0.00% | 1.37% | 9 | Over |
The last column in the table is my personal feelings about how the MAAC will play out. KenPom rankings appear to overrate a few teams — most notably Canisius — and potentially undersell Saint Peter’s and Siena. Of course maybe the numbers are picking up on something I’m not.
Some other quick bullet points on Iona’s dominance:
Is there a team that you think KenPom is seriously underrating? Anything that surprised you?
This upcoming season is the year of the sub-6′ point guard. Iona’s Schadrac Casimir is a celebrated member of that group. Continue reading “Iona’s Freshman Guard Inspires Russ Smith Comparisons”
It is not by accident that the Manhattan-Iona matchup keeps getting on TV. Continue reading “MAAC ESPN TV Schedule Released”
As I showed last week, RPM projections aren’t perfect for the MAAC. Historically the model I’ve constructed has only been able to explain about 47% of a team’s rating. Still, 47% is better than nothing. Also, this will give us a chance to dive into some of the places where the system is weak. Continue reading “MAAC RPM Thoughts?”
This season every MAAC roster except for Marist will have at least one transfer. Here are five who are set to have an impact on their teams this coming season. Continue reading “Five Impact MAAC Transfers for This Season”
When Iona head coach Tim Cluess takes to the floor for the Gaels first game in November, one notable presence will be missing.
Continue reading “Iona’s Tim Cluess Looking Forward to Finding Contributors”
It appears that Kelvin Amayo may have to wait even longer for his presence to be felt on the Iona roster. Continue reading “Kelvin Amayo’s Iona Debut Complicated by Surgeries”
Earlier this month, Gotham Hoops hosted the inaugural Gotham Hoops Invitational at Farmingdale State College. The event was a showcase for over two dozen Men’s College Basketball seniors in the Tri-State area.
Participants included a diverse array of players from local Division I, II, and III schools. The players were separated into four teams and played two exhibition games to show off their skills. This was just one opportunity for these seniors to play in front of friends, media, and scouts as they pursue their dreams of playing professionally.
Big Apple Buckets was at the event, and we were able to catch up with some local players including Manhattan’s Rhamel Brown, Hofstra’s Stephen Nwaukoni, and Quinnipiac’s Ike Azotam. Continue reading “Players on Their Future at the Gotham Hoops Invitational”
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