Ivy League Weekly Roundup: March 9

What Happened Last Week: The biggest Ivy League basketball weekend in quite some time. On Friday, Yale beat Harvard to claim its first Ivy championship in a decade. Saturday afternoon, word leaked that Penn will find a new coach after the season. And that night, Yale’s last-second loss at Dartmouth left the Bulldogs tied with Harvard atop the league and headed for a playoff.

Three Thoughts:

1. Per Ken Pomeroy’s win probability chart, Yale’s chances at Dartmouth peaked at somewhere around 99% in the final minute. When Connor Boehm missed a shot with 28 seconds remaining and the Big Green down by five, Yale could taste the NCAA tournament (and the hidden Ivy League trophy). A loose-ball foul on Armani Cotton seemed academic, leaving the visitors up three with the ball. But Javier Duren was tied up in the backcourt and Miles Wright dropped a wide-open three-pointer, setting up a wild finish.

Yale has been deadly in end-game situations this year, so it was no surprise when Duren drew two free throws with 2.3 seconds remaining. But he made only one — and it was the second one, leaving the clock stopped — allowing Dartmouth to throw a home-run pass that Justin Sears batted out of bounds.

From under the basket, the Big Green ran a beautiful baseline inbounds set to free Gabas Maldunas for a layup, sending Harvard’s gym into celebration and denying (or at least postponing) the Bulldogs’ first NCAA tournament since 1962.

2. Dartmouth’s thrilling victory had repercussions beyond Harvard and Yale — it gave the Big Green a 14-14 record for the season, making them eligible for their first postseason appearance since 1959. They wouldn’t have had a chance if not for another wild game on Friday night. Dartmouth trailed Brown 50-26 with 14 minutes to play, and their postseason hopes seemed dashed. (KenPom gave them roughly a 3% chance of winning at that point.) But the Big Green has gone on the league’s craziest runs all season — including 26-2 at Harvard and 18-4 at Columbia — and they flattened the Bears with another spurt.

Dartmouth scored 11 straight points in 66 seconds (including an oddly timed technical foul earned by Brown coach Mike Martin), then reeled off another 8-0 run shortly after. John Golden scored a season-high 12 points with timely plays, and Maldunas was a factor on both ends, blocking four shots. The Big Green’s biggest spark came from Malik Gill, whose contested three-pointer in the final minute put the hosts ahead for good. Brown went just 13-26 from the free-throw line in a losing effort.

Thanks to a thrilling weekend, Dartmouth finished the season with a five-game win streak, rising from 2-7 and the Ivy cellar to 7-7 and fourth place (its first top-half finish since 2009). Assuming the Big Green receive an invite to the CIT (or perhaps the CBI), it will be well deserved.

3. ESPN’s Jeff Goodman reported Saturday afternoon that Penn coach Jerome Allen will not return next season, which was surprising news only for its timing. Under Allen, the Quakers finished below .500 in three straight seasons for the first time ever, and this year’s seven-game losing streak was the longest in team history. Allen is a Penn icon who remains well-liked among players and the community, but the program needed a change.

Allen was told last Monday that he would not be allowed to return next year, per The Daily Pennsylvanian; Penn went on to snap its losing streak with a sweep of Columbia and Cornell last weekend. Maybe lame-duck head coaches are the new market inefficiency?

Weekly Awards:

Player of the Week: Maodo Lo, Columbia — It’s Monday, which means it must be time for another edition of Maodo Lo Shot Chart Theater. Lo scored a career-high 37 points in his season finale at Princeton, and unlike his 33 against Harvard last week, most of them came from outside (sometimes way outside). Lo drained 11 three-pointers at Princeton, setting an Ivy League single-game record. Usually, such a performance would get lead billing; on Saturday, it was maybe the fourth-biggest story in the Ivy League.

Maodo_Lo_Shot_Chart_Columbia-Princeton_37-points

Rookie of the Week: Miles Wright, Dartmouth — The Big Green’s game-winning shot wouldn’t have happened if not for Wright’s three-pointer that tied the game 12 seconds earlier, which in turn was made possible by Wright’s hustle for a rebound and two free throws on the prior possession. Before the final minute, the rookie hounded Yale’s ballhandlers for five steals, keeping the hosts close while their offense was struggling.

The Week Ahead: Harvard and Yale will meet at The Palestra on Saturday (time TBD), in the first Ivy League playoff in four years — and the first ever not involving either Penn or Princeton. Yale is ranked #75 in KenPom, while Harvard is #79, so this playoff shapes up to be just as exciting as the last one. The Bulldogs just won by 10 in Lavietes Pavilion, but a lot went right for them in that game, which won’t necessarily repeat itself this weekend.

We will reveal our Big Apple Buckets Ivy awards on Wednesday morning. The league’s official awards, though slightly less prestigious, will also be announced this week.

Power Rankings:

1. Harvard (11-3) — It’s remarkable how successful Harvard’s scoreboard-watching has been over the past few years. In 2012, the Crimson earned their first-ever NCAA bid when Princeton beat Penn in the season’s final game. In 2013, they entered the final weekend a game behind Princeton, winning the title outright only after the Tigers were swept at Yale and Brown. Harvard has deserved its success, but its past 4-5 years could have played out much differently.

2. Yale (11-3) — Makai Mason is likely Yale’s point guard of the future, but he was critical in the present on Saturday night. With Javier Duren limited by foul trouble and the Bulldogs’ role players scuffling, Mason came off the bench to score 19 points on 9-11 shooting.

3. Princeton (8-5) — Princeton was down 83-74 with two minutes remaining after Lo’s 11th three-pointer, but the Tigers scored the final 11 points to clinch their own postseason eligibility. They took advantage of two rare Lo misses and scored on four straight possessions, including two tough baskets through contact by Hans Brase. Both teams scored at least 1.32 points per possession in the shootout — and with most players returning, expect more of the same next year.

4. Dartmouth (7-7) — Harvard gave Gabas Maldunas and Dartmouth plenty of love on Saturday:

https://twitter.com/MattFraschilla/status/574393579415674880

…while others directed their gratitude toward higher powers:

5. Columbia (5-9) — The Lions needed just one win this weekend to clinch postseason eligibility, which made a road sweep particularly disappointing. Before collapsing at Princeton, Columbia was upset at Penn, managing only six points in the first 19 minutes. Even after all that, Lo was this close to saving the Lions at the buzzer at Jadwin (and reaching 40 points):

Video via the Ivy League Digital Network
Video via the Ivy League Digital Network

6. Cornell (5-9) — The Big Red needed a road sweep to be eligible for the postseason; they got swept instead, though Shonn Miller averaged 24 points per game in the final weekend of his Ivy career. With Miller, Galal Cancer and Devin Cherry all set to graduate, the Big Red might be in trouble next season.

7. Brown (4-10) — Rafael Maia ended his career in style, posting double-doubles in each of his last two games, but it was a forgettable Ivy campaign for the rest of the Bears. They’ll always have the win at Providence — which will mark the second time in three seasons a last-place Ivy finisher beat an at-large NCAA tournament team.

8. Penn (4-9) — The Quakers doubled their Ivy win title last weekend, offering some hope for next year with most of their core returning. Penn had the second-worst offense in Ivy play, but no team scored more efficiently against Cornell than the Quakers did in either game (1.22 points per possession in Ithaca, 1.11 at home).

After Winning Finale, Harvard Learns Of Ivy Playoff

After losing to Yale the previous night, Harvard entered Saturday needing a win and a Yale loss to earn a share of the Ivy title. The Crimson’s game tipped an hour earlier, so when they finished a 72-62 victory over Brown, the Bulldogs still had 20 minutes left to play at Dartmouth. With their fate out of their hands, Harvard’s locker room was feeling, in the words of senior Wesley Saunders, apprehensive. Continue reading “After Winning Finale, Harvard Learns Of Ivy Playoff”

Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Mar. 1

What Happened Last Week: Harvard lost at Cornell, falling back into a tie for first place with Yale at 10-2. The Crimson beat Columbia the following night, while the Bulldogs beat Princeton and Penn despite trailing both in the second half. Dartmouth earned an impressive road sweep of the New York teams. Continue reading “Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Mar. 1”

Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 22

What Happened Last Week: The favorites held serve at the top of the Ivy League on Friday, but Saturday was more exciting. Columbia toppled Yale in New Haven, giving the Bulldogs their second Ivy loss. Meanwhile, Harvard survived a scare from Princeton to claim first place alone. Continue reading “Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 22”

Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Midseason Edition

What Happened Last Week: Harvard and Yale stayed atop the Ivy League at 7-1, 2.5 games ahead of the field. The Bulldogs swept a road trip to Penn and Princeton, while the Crimson edged Columbia on Siyani Chambers’ jumper and beat Cornell. Elsewhere, Dartmouth beat the Lions at home, while Penn was swept by big margins. Continue reading “Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Midseason Edition”

Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 9

What Happened Last Week: Harvard beat Yale 52-50 on the road, pulling into a tie for first place at 5-1. The Crimson almost slipped up at Brown the previous night, but after pulling out an overtime win in Providence, they shut down the Bulldogs with stifling defense. Every other Ivy League team is at least 1.5 games back after Princeton beat Columbia but lost at Cornell. Continue reading “Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 9”

Saunders, Harvard Escape Brown in Overtime

As an early loss to Dartmouth made clear, nothing will come easy in Harvard’s quest for a fifth straight Ivy League title. Visiting 0-4 Brown on Friday, the Crimson cruised to a double-digit lead in the first half — and promptly lost it in the second. Harvard needed a buzzer-beating basket to force overtime and eked out a 76-74 win, but questions abound heading into Saturday’s showdown at Yale.

The Crimson led by as many as 13 points until a Brown run cut the halftime gap to six. Coming out of intermission, Harvard’s starters committed turnovers on six straight possessions, allowing the Bears to take their first lead of the game and complete a 20-4 run. Neither team led by more than five points for the final 24 minutes of play.

Down the stretch, Friday’s game became a battle of starring guards. Brown point guard Tavon Blackmon played the best game of his career, shattering his previous high with 25 points on 7-12 shooting to go with nine assists. The sophomore took advantage of broken plays for some of his early points, but by the end of the game he was breaking down Harvard’s set defense himself.

Blackmon led the Bears’ offense, in flux after leading scorer Leland King’s departure, to 1.07 points per possession against the Ivy League’s stingiest defense. His spinning layup beat the shot clock to tie the game at 57-57 late, and his contested floater over Siyani Chambers gave Brown a lead in the final minute of regulation. “I think he’s really growing,” Brown coach Mike Martin said. “When we recruited him, we thought he was a guy who could be the best point guard in our league.”

But Blackmon’s buckets were often answered by Crimson star Wesley Saunders. The senior ended Harvard’s eight-minute scoring drought that spanned halftime; later in the half, he beat the shot clock with a hot-potato three-pointer that mirrored an early-season dagger against Boston University in both execution and game state.

And he made a game-saving shot at the end of regulation. After Blackmon split a pair of free throws with eight seconds left to go ahead 64-62, Saunders took a handoff from Chambers in the run of play, drove into the lane and missed an awkward floater — but he recovered to corral the rebound and lay it in at the buzzer, forcing overtime.

Wesley_Saunders_Harvard_Brown_buzzer-beater

He added five points in the extra period, and the Crimson made free throws and handled Brown’s pressure well enough to survive. Saunders scored 33 points — most for a Harvard player since Drew Housman did the same at Princeton in 2007 — to go with 10 rebounds and three steals. More importantly, he was seemingly Harvard’s only offense for long stretches, finishing with a 41% usage rating in 40 minutes.

Thanks to Saunders’ heroics, the Crimson remain one game behind unbeaten Yale, a gap they can close in New Haven on Saturday night. Three more thoughts from the Pizzitola Sports Center:

1. Friday in February is a tough time for tinkering. After keeping a fairly stable rotation through much of non-conference play, Harvard coach Tommy Amaker has become more creative with his lineups in recent weeks. Eleven players saw the floor in Friday’s first half alone, and the Crimson’s leader in minutes was Agunwa Okolie. After Steve Moundou-Missi fouled out in regulation, and with Kenyatta Smith still sidelined due to injury (Smith was dressed Friday but did not play), Harvard played small for most of the stretch run, even on a couple possessions in which Brown had big lineups.

Most puzzling was the usage of Siyani Chambers. The point guard has had a rough season statistically, but Harvard has been much better with Chambers on the floor, especially on offense. Yet he sat for more than seven straight minutes in the second half of a one-possession game. “It was a tough night for him with Blackmon,” Amaker said. “We made some switches to try to get different guys on [Blackmon], bigger guys.” (Down the stretch of regulation, Amaker also sat Chambers for only defensive possessions — which is more reasonable, if still debatable, especially since Brown’s shooting guards wouldn’t make cross-matching too dangerous.)

Harvard survived that stretch Friday, coming out ahead 14-11, but all evidence suggests benching Chambers is a losing bet. Juggling Harvard’s frontcourt is a true challenge for Amaker, between injuries, varying skill sets and foul trouble (which figures to be a problem against Yale), but Chambers and Saunders should simply play as much as possible.

2. The Bears could have sealed the game with better defensive rebounding. Brown has been roughly average on the glass this season, but it got killed by the Crimson, surrendering 20 offensive rebounds on 38 opportunities. Jonah Travis took the most advantage, grabbing five missed shots off the bench. Harvard’s two biggest plays of the game — a shooting foul drawn by Travis on the penultimate possession of regulation and Saunders’ game-winner — both came on second chances.

3. Brown is a really good 0-5 team. Even after losing King for the season, the Bears haven’t gone into hibernation. Despite playing the league’s toughest schedule to date, Brown went to the wire at Yale and has been ahead or tied in the second half of its last four games. Blackmon hasn’t yet shown consistent greatness, but if he and Cedric Kuakumensah (15 points, four blocks) can play something like they did Friday, the Bears will win a few of their remaining games (possibly starting Saturday against Dartmouth).

“I like the way we fought, and I like the character of our team,” Martin said. “I really don’t think we’re far away. I know our record would tell you we are, but I like the fight we have in that locker room.”

Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 2

What Happened Last Week: Yale swept Columbia and Cornell on the road, improving to 4-0. Harvard recovered from last week’s upset with wins at Princeton and Penn, keeping pace at 3-1. Princeton is in the mix at 2-1, as are Cornell and Columbia at 2-2, but the Ivy League still looks like a two-team race. Continue reading “Ivy League Weekly Roundup: Feb. 2”