In his first season as head coach, Jeff Bower has seen his Red Foxes swing from their lowest point to making a run at the fifth seed in the MAAC over the final weekend. Continue reading “How Marist Turned Things Around In The MAAC”
The computer’s MAAC tourney predictions all revolve around one team: Iona. The Gaels dominate everything you’ll in the simulation results. Basically, if you slip past them, whatever round you come across the MAAC’s most talented team, you’ve got a shot at winning a title. That’s especially true for a team like Fairfield. According to the sim results the semifinal between the Gaels and Stags is the gateway to the title. Almost 60% of the time Fairfield got past Iona, Sydney Johnson’s team won the league title.
Regular season MAAC play has come to its inevitable conclusion. The final day offered a few surprises as Rider beat Fairfield at home, Loyola (MD) pulled out a squeaker over Manhattan and Marist went off on Niagara. All of those results have been included in this final edition of the tempo-free MAAC and will also impact the projected tournament results that I will unveil on Tuesday afternoon. It’s been quite the ride. For some more reading on the MAAC, checkout out this Q&A Siena Saints Blog did with MAAC commissioner Rich Ensor.
Last week I looked a few interesting trends in the NEC. Today I want to take a look at three MAAC trends that are currently shaping the conference race. One contender has stepped up its game lately on the defensive end while another is faltering. Then there’s is the interesting seasonal trend of dangerous underdog’s offense.
Much like I did for the Big East, I ran 10,000 simulations for the MAAC (and a bunch of other conferences coming up in this series this week). The MAAC is a slightly different animal because it played conference games already this season. Four teams: Iona, Fairfield, Loyola (Md.) and Manhattan are ahead of schedule at 2-0. Four teams: Siena, Rider, Niagara and Canisius are behind at 0-2. (Marist and St. Peter’s are stuck in the middle, we’ll see why that’s important in a second.) All of this means that the simulations have to take this into account. It’d be really tough for one of those four bottom teams to take the league title away from one of the top four teams, but as you’ll see, it happened twice.
Hey look, it’s another power poll! Some results really shook up the city over the past two weeks and it resulted in some seismic changes in the poll. Not at the top though, where, after staving off Denver, the Iona Gaels remain No. 1. The big riser this week is Columbia. That’s what happens when you start by losing four in a row and then win six in a row including three on the West Coast. The big fall in this poll is suffered by Rider. Tommy Dempsey has some trouble on his hands in Lawrenceville, but hopefully the addition of freshman Junior Fortunat can help the Broncs play a smidgen of defense. The full poll is after the jump.
The second edition of the New York City Power Poll is here. This time we had 13 people, including myself, vote on who they think is the top team in the NYC area. Not surprisingly Iona came out No. 1. The Gaels reportedly took down Rutgers in a scrimmage last week and also got the boost of Momo Jones’ eligibility. That was enough to convince a few doubters. After that things get murky. All 23 teams are after the jump.